Today's States of the Race

Brought to you by Allstate & National Journal! They've released their new set of swing state polls. To get a better sense of what's happened in the last 10 weeks, I've included their Mid-September numbers in parentheses.

Ohio:
Obama 48%
McCain 41%
(Was 41-42 for McCain)

Virginia:
Obama 48%
McCain 44%
(Was 41-48 for McCain)

Colorado:
Obama 48%
McCain 44%
(Was Obama 45-44)

Florida:
Obama 45%
McCain 44%
(Was Tied 44-44)

North Carolina:
Obama 47%
McCain 43%
(NC wasn't polled in September.)

The bad news: NJ shows a closer race than most other pollsters in these swing states.

The good news: LOOK AT THE TRENDLINE! Obama has risen dramatically in the last 10 weeks! He's gone from losing all these states except Colorado to leading in all of them. That's nothing short of breathtaking.

Conclusion: Again, we should NOT count on "winning" before we make it happen! Perhaps the trend is moving in our direction... Or perhaps not so much. Whether we're just barely ahead for leading by a mile, nothing really counts until after the polls close on November 4. So what are you waiting for? Get out and MAKE VICTORY HAPPEN! :-D

Allstate-National Journal Does the Rust Belt

And the results? Pretty damn good for Democrats!

Minnesota:
Obama (D) 50%
McCain (R) 40%

Pennsylvania:
Obama (D) 51%
McCain (R) 41%

Wisconsin:
Obama (D) 53%
McCain (R) 40%

The bad news: None here!

The good news: All 3 "Barely Blue States" from 2004 look awfully "Solid Blue" now! This is obviously good news for Obama & for us. No matter what crap McCrazy tries to throw at the wall in these states, it doesn't seem like any of it is working. Obama no longer looks to have any "blue-collar" or "white working class" problems anywhere in The Rust Belt. And now with the economy as Issue #1, this only helps Democrats here.

Conclusion: Still, let's NOT get complacent. Let's get working to make our victory BIG! :-D

Today's Poll Report

Via TPM Election Central:

Gallup Daily:
Obama (D) 46%
McCain (R) 46%

Diageo-Hotline Tracking:
Obama (D) 47%
McCain (R) 43%

National Journal:

New Hampshire-
Obama (D) 44%
McCain (R) 43%

Pennsylvania-

Obama (D) 43%
McCain (R) 41%

Michigan-
Obama (D) 47%
McCain (R) 39%

Overall, not bad. Gallup shows Obama slipping, but that seems out of tune with the other daily trackers. Meanwhile, New Hampshire & Pennsylvania remain close... But Obama has a slight advantage. Oh yes, and National Journal confirms Obama's rising numbers in Michigan.

Overall, a good day for us. :-)

Convention Coverage brought to you by Big Oil???

In case anyone missed it, ExxonMobil will be sponsoring the CNN, CBS and the National Journal's coverage of both the Democratic and Republican National Conventions.







And just in the nick of time, the Exxon Mobile Citizen Action Team (CAT) issued its summer newsletter.

The ExxonMobil program that provides information on public policy issues and encourages employees and retirees in the United States and those citizens living abroad to get involved in issues that affect our business, families and communities. With nearly 100,000 U.S. employees and retirees providing representation in every congressional district, the ExxonMobil family is an important political force and a vehicle for positive change. By harnessing our collective strength, we can make a difference through the elections process, lobbying and grassroots communications.

Isn’t it nice seeing a corporation take an active role in democracy?