Tuesday, October 7, 2008

CNN Numbers In...

Here are the hot, HOT, HOT!!! new CNN Flash Poll numbers post-debate:

Who won the debate?
Obama 54%
McCain 30%

Who can better on Iraq?
Obama 51%
McCain 47%

Who can better handle terrorism?
McCain 51%
Obama 46%

Who can better handle the economy?
Obama 59%
McCain 37%

Who can better handle the financial crisis?
Obama 57%
McCain 36%

What's your opinion of John McCain?
Favorable 51%
Unfavorable 46%
(no change from the first debate)

What's your opinion of Barack Obama?
Favorable 64%
Unfavorable 34%
(Obama is +4 on favorable and -4 on unfavorable!)

My take: Obama clearly won tonight, and CNN's insta-poll confirms that! Obama was again a calm & reassuring voice on the financial crisis while McCain still seemed erratic & off-balance. Also, McCain doesn't do a good job of hiding his disdain for Obama. Do voters really want another President who turns friends into enemies?

McCain needed a game-changer in his favor. And frankly speaking, he didn't get it tonight. If anything, tonight's debate may very well seal the deal for Obama.

Great! :-)

McCain's Bad Manners

"That one"? I mean, really? "That one"?



No handshake. Rude.

Debate Open Thread

Are you ready for the candidates to rumble? We are! Come on in & watch the debate with us! We'll try to keep up with what's happening. :-)

McBush: "Palling Around With Terrorists"?

OK, so the McBush-Failin' GOP campaign is desperate to "turn the page" on their failure to offer real solutions for our failing economy. They're now resorting to long discredited attacks to smear Barack Obama. They now like to talk about how Obama "pals around with terrorists".

So McBush really wants to talk about terrorists? Does he really want to talk about his own involvement in a radical right haven for Nazi sympathizers and Central American death squads??!! Does McBush want to relive that not-so-distant history?

Sarah Palin and Alaskan Secession

There is a party in Alaska known as the Alaskan Independence Party. A part of its platform is secession from our great national Union and the establishment of Alaska as an independent state.

Sarah Palin accuses Barack Obama, for his harmless and casual association with William Ayers of palling around with terrorists. But her association with the Alaskan Independence Party is in no way casual:

David Plouffe's Strategy Update



Campaign Manager David Plouffe gives a strategy update from debate prep in North Carolina. Volunteer to support Barack Obama in the four days before the election at barackobama.com.

OK, John & Sarah, Have It Your Way!

So McBush & Failin' don't want to talk about economic solutions? They'd rather talk about "ties to terrorists"? OK, then... Why is Sarah Palin tied to a party that has willingly accepted help from IRAN??!!

Yes, that's right... Iran! The very same Iran that McBush wants to "bomb, bomb, bomb" is the Iran that sponsored the founder of the Alaska Independence Party to go to the opening of the United Nations General Assembly in 1993 to denounce the US. Hmmm, Alaska Independence Party... Isn't that the same party Todd Palin has been a long-time member of and the same party that Sarah Palin "welcomed" JUST THIS YEAR??!!

So if McBush & Failin' want to talk about "terrorist ties", why don't they start out with THEIR OWN?

Today's States of the Race

Brought to you by TPM Election Central!

Mason-Dixon of Florida:
Obama (D) 48%
McCain (R) 46%

Public Policy Polling of Ohio:
Obama (D) 49%
McCain (R) 43%

Muhlenberg of Pennsylvania:
Obama (D) 48%
McCain (R) 38%

Research 2000 of Nevada:
Obama (D) 50%
McCain (R) 43%

Survey USA of Pennsylvania:
Obama (D) 55%
McCain (R) 40%

Survey USA of Wisconsin
Obama (D) 52
McCain (R) 42


The bad news: I see none here!

The good news: As we discussed in DC's post, Obama is starting to pull away in Nevada. However, it's not limited to The Silver State! With the exception of Mason-Dixon's new Florida poll (which now looks different from the other FL polls because they all show Obama farther ahead!), everything else here looks fantastic! McCain's chances in Pennsylvania continue to dim while Obama takes the lead in Ohio. Obama's doing a terrific job swinging the swing states our way, and hopefully the debate tonight will only help us more.

Conclusion: This map looks like a dream come true for Democrats. So we can make it real? Yes! Keep donating, keep walking, keep calling! We're so close now... We can do it! :-)

More good news

Public Policy Polling, consistent with other polling companies, finds Obama up in Ohio:

Obama 49
McCain 43

The president of PPP observed:
The polls are getting worse and worse for John McCain. There is virtually no way he can win the Presidency without Ohio but he is now trailing outside the margin of error here in several polls, and time is running away from him with the election less than a month away.

atdnext, wowzer!

Research 2000 finds Obama has opened a nice lead in Nevada over the cranky guy with a long history of erratic judgments:

Obama 50
McCain 43

Check out these

great pictures of Obama holding lots of different babies.

CNN truth squads the McCain-Keating Story



Verdict: Obama's account of the scandal, which involved McCain's efforts to degregulate banking attached to a financial crisis much the same as the one we see today, is spot-on.

Btw, an Update from Moi

For all of you who were curious about what I did last weekend while you were all having fun with DCDemocrat, here's the scoop! Enjoy! Oh yes, and aren't you glad I'm back?

What's that... DCDemocrat is more fun? Whatever! hehe ;-)

Gallup Sez: Obama's Gaining!

Last but certainly not least, here's Gallup!

Obama (D) 51%
McCain (R) 42%


This is an all-time high for Obama in Gallup Daily, just like Obama hitting an all-time high of 52-44 in the Rasmussen Tracker today. All Obama needs to do is perform well in tonight's debate and continue connecting with the voters on the issues that matter... And he wins! :-)

Report of a commanding Obama lead in Minnesota

Minnesota Public Radio News and Humphrey Institute Poll reports that Barack Obama has surged ahead of his nearest rival, Whosiewhatsit, you know, the cranky guy with decades of history of disasters that resulted from his piss poor judgment.

Obama previously had a narrow four point lead, but the economic crisis and the vice presidential debate have propelled him to a commanding 14-point lead:

Obama 54
McCain 40

The prior margin was Obama 47 to McCain 43.