IBD-TIPP Is In

Let's see where they have the state of the race.

Obama 48%
McCain 44%

Obama's +1 from yesterday, so he now has a +4 lead. So if the most conservative (in more ways than one) pollster so far this cycle shows a stable or slightly growing Obama lead just before we start to see post-30-Minute-Ad numbers, then I guess we're in good shape. ;-)

Ugh, IBD-TIPP...

Well, I guess yesterday was a fluke. Their numbers today pretty much reverted back to Monday's.

Obama 47%
McCain 44%

I guess the silver lining here is that aside from their occasional wild swings both ways, IBD & TIPP have shown a fairly stable 3-4% Obama lead. And if the most pessimistic pollster has Obama ahead 3% nationally while most of the rest have a 5-10% Obama lead, then we're not really in all that bad shape less than a week out from the election. ;-)

Our Final Trackers for Today

It's OK to breathe. Really.

ABC-Washington Post:
Obama 52%
McCain 45%

IBD-TIPP:
Obama 48%
McCain 44%

Phew! ABC-WaPo is unchanged from yesterday, while IBD-TIPP shows Obama +1 from yesterday. All in all, it looks like we have a stable Obama lead.

Keep up the good work & we'll win this election! :-D

And finally...

The Investors' Business Daily-TIPP Tracker:

Obama 47%
McCain 41%

I just calculated the eight tracker average (Zogby, Research 2000, Rasmussen, Diageo-Hotline, GWU Battleground, Gallup Daily, IBD-TIPP, and ABC-Washington Post), and indeed Obama's lead has risen to +6.5%. Again, GWU looks like today's outlier as they showed a tightening race. Rasmussen and ABC-WaPo, on the other hand, showed no change. Research 2000, Diageo-Hotline, Zogby, Gallup, and IBD-TIPP, meanwhile, all showed Obama growing his lead.

Overall, it looks like we've had a good day today. ;-)

OK, we have another tracking poll!

I had been hesitant before to include the Investors' Business Daily/TIPP daily poll, as it didn't seem daily at first and their results seemed out of whack with the other pollsters. But now that they're polling daily, I figured it may be worth including IBD/TIPP in our morning poll reports.

Yesterday:
Obama 45%
McCain 42%

Today:
Obama 46%
McCain 41%

Apparently, they show more undecideds than the other trackers. Still, they seem consistent with the other pollsters in showing a slight to moderate Obama advantage. If IBD/TIPP is included in our mean averages, yesterday's average would have been Obama +6.14% and today's average would be Obama +6.29%.

So should we regularly include IBD/TIPP in our daily tracking poll updates?