Today's States of the Race

Whoa! Open Left shows some wild state polls out today!

DFM Research of North Dakota:
Obama (D) 44%
McCain (R) 41%

Christopher Newport University of Virginia:
Obama (D) 49%
McCain (R) 43%

The bad news: I can't see any here.

The good news: NORTH DAKOTA??!! REALLY??!! This is the second consecutive poll and yet another of many polls since July showing a tight race/slight Obama lead here, so it's getting difficult to dismiss polls like this as "an outlier".

Oh yes, and remember Christopher Newport University? Remember when they showed McCain WAY UP when all other polls showed a tie or small Obama lead? Well, they've now fallen in line. This confirms that Obama has the edge in The Old Dominion.

Conclusion: It's all good today. Obama had a great debate last night. He's good on the stump today. And now, the primary battleground has shifted to once "Solid Red States" that are now VERY purple... States like North Carolina and NORTH DAKOTA! If this holds up, we'll have a great night on November 4. :-)

New Rasmussen State Polls

You might recall that last last Friday, I wrote about the astonishing news that Rasmussen had Obama and McCain tied in North Dakota. Now comes the news from Rasmussen that Obama has put South Dakota into play:

McCain 44
Obama 40

(With leaners, McCain 47 and Obama 43.)

Iowa is also looking pretty decent in the most recent Rasmussen released today:

Obama 48
McCain 38

(With leaners, Obama 51, McCain 41.)

Michigan is also looking better for our party's candidate:

Obama 47
McCain 39

That means that Obama has widened his lead there by four points greater than the last poll.

Electoral Vote Dot Com now projects the following electoral vote distribution:

Obama 320
McCain 204
Ties 14*

*Missouri with 11 electoral votes and North Dakota with 3 electoral votes.