The Closer

There's a reason why Michelle Obama is called "The Closer". I found it out yesterday in North Las Vegas. She knows how to seal the deal!

I was amazed yesterday as I heard from Michelle Obama herself on her own story, Barack's story, their family's common story, and our common story as Americans. Because both she and Barack actually remember where they came from what struggles they endured, they understand the economic problems that all of us are facing. I got that, and so did everyone else in North Las Vegas. We were all fired up & ready to go!

When Michelle Obama finished rallying us up, I quickly moved to the campaign office near the airport to see if I can be a "closer" as well. I was assigned a neighborhood in Silverado Ranch, a fairly Republican suburban area. I was up to the challenge, so I took it!

So I hit the pavement. I took notes from those who already voted early for Barack Obama & Dina Titus. I reminded those that haven't yet voted to vote today. All in all, I was able to reach out to some last-minute voters and remind them just how important today is.

Upon returning to the office, I made a few more calls to Henderson. And after that, I visited my family there. Oh yes, and I did remind them to vote for Obama & Titus today!

Here in Nevada, polls will be open today from 7:00 AM to 7:00 PM PDT. If you can, please make the calls and help me turn out the vote! Now's the time for all of us to be closers. Let's seal the deal and make victory happen today! :-D

Quinnipiac's Final Battleground Polls

Are you ready? Well, here they are! Let's take a look.

Florida:
Obama (D) 47%
McCain (R) 45%

Ohio:
Obama (D) 50%
McCain (R) 43%

Pennsylvania:
Obama (D) 52%
McCain (R) 42%

The bad news: Florida is awfully close!

The good news: OMG, we may actually win Florida??!! And Ohio? And win comfortably in Pennsylvania? If anyone had told me this two months ago, I wouldn't have believed that person. But now, it seems quite possible.

Conclusion: So how do we make the possible into the actual? WE WORK! So don't stop now! Keep up the good work, and I know we'll win! :-D

What's Up in Vegas

Another day, another opportunity to win over some more Nevada voters! Yesterday, I had a chance to do this at the campaign office as I got my phone out and called local voters. I made the calls, and here's what happened.

First off, I found some voters who are understandably irritated by the 24/7 campaign in Nevada. I tried to explain to them that I wasn't out to deliberately annoy them, but I don't know if these people really got it. And honestly, these people are the ones who usually look for an excuse not to vote.

Fortunately, I found many more people at home who are planning to vote for Obama and Titus. These people missed early voting, so all they needed was a reminder to vote on Tuesday. Oh yes, and I also found even more Democrats who did vote early before the 10/31 deadline! And whether these folks already voted or will vote on Tuesday, they all sounded enthusiastic about Obama & Titus.

Oh, and did I mention that I was calling Henderson yesterday? And did I forget to say that I reached no McCain-Porter voters while on the phone?

So far, the state of the race looks good in Southern Nevada. However, our work is NOT done! We obviously still have voters to turn out to vote on Tuesday. So please, don't stop working now! Keep up the good work, help me turn out the vote, and I know we'll win! :-)

Today's States of the Race

Brought to you by Allstate & National Journal! They've released their new set of swing state polls. To get a better sense of what's happened in the last 10 weeks, I've included their Mid-September numbers in parentheses.

Ohio:
Obama 48%
McCain 41%
(Was 41-42 for McCain)

Virginia:
Obama 48%
McCain 44%
(Was 41-48 for McCain)

Colorado:
Obama 48%
McCain 44%
(Was Obama 45-44)

Florida:
Obama 45%
McCain 44%
(Was Tied 44-44)

North Carolina:
Obama 47%
McCain 43%
(NC wasn't polled in September.)

The bad news: NJ shows a closer race than most other pollsters in these swing states.

The good news: LOOK AT THE TRENDLINE! Obama has risen dramatically in the last 10 weeks! He's gone from losing all these states except Colorado to leading in all of them. That's nothing short of breathtaking.

Conclusion: Again, we should NOT count on "winning" before we make it happen! Perhaps the trend is moving in our direction... Or perhaps not so much. Whether we're just barely ahead for leading by a mile, nothing really counts until after the polls close on November 4. So what are you waiting for? Get out and MAKE VICTORY HAPPEN! :-D

Nevada Early Voting UPDATE

Here's the latest news. Democrats have been outnumbering Republicans in early voting turnout so far by a 48%-34% margin in Washoe County (Reno) and a 52%-30% margin in Clark County (Las Vegas). And to put things further into perspective, Bush won Washoe County by 4% in 2004 while Kerry won Clark County by 6%. So far, SO GOOD for Democrats! ;-)

Afternoon States of the Race

Brought to you by Rasmussen!

Alaska:
McCain (R) 57%
Obama (D) 41%

New Mexico:
Obama (D) 54%
McCain (R) 44%

Minnesota:
Obama (D) 55%
McCain (R) 43%

The bad news: I guess Alaska's not flipping blue any time soon.

The good news: We don't need Alaska to win! However, we DO need Minnesota & New Mexico. And so far, Obama's safely ahead in BOTH states. As long as Obama wins these & the other states where he's leading outside the margin of error, he wins next week.

Conclusion: Keep up the good work! We're almost there! ;-)

MORE States of the Race!

So you can't get enough state polls? Well, here are some more polls from Quinnipiac that show what's happening in the three biggest swing states.

Florida:
Obama (D) 47%
McCain (R) 45%

Ohio:
Obama (D) 51%
McCain (R) 42%

Pennsylvania:
Obama (D) 53%
McCain (R) 41%

The bad news: Florida is close.

The good news: Florida is close, so McCrazy's original plan to "bank" on The Sunshine State's 27 EVs isn't working! Also, Obama still looks to be running away with The Buckeye State & The Keystone State. If Obama wins Ohio & Pennsylvania, then it's all over on Tuesday night... WE WIN!

Conclusion: Again, DON'T LET UP! Keep working. Keep calling. Keep walking. As long as we work for it, we will win! :-D

The Morning's States of the Race

AP-GfK has released a new round of state polls, so let's take a look at what they're showing.

Florida:
Obama (D) 45%
McCain (R) 43%

North Carolina:
Obama (D) 48%
McCain (R) 46%

Ohio:
Obama (D) 48%
McCain (R) 41%

Virginia:
Obama (D) 49%
McCain (R) 42%

Colorado:
Obama (D) 50%
McCain (R) 41%

Pennsylvania:
Obama (D) 52%
McCain (R) 40%

Nevada:
Obama (D) 52%
McCain (R) 40%

New Hampshire:
Obama (D) 55%
McCain (R) 37%

The bad news: Florida and North Carolina look tight.

The good news: Obama still has the edge there in these crucial final days. And even better, Obama leads far outside the margin of error in all the other states reporting! With states like Colorado and Nevada & states like Virginia and Pennsylvania showing such strong leads for Obama, it looks like "the firewall" is holding up and he has at least 300 EVs firmly in his corner.

Conclusion: Still, we can NOT afford to be complacent! The national polls suggest that a little tightening may be happening, so we need to work as hard as we can to secure all these leads in all these states. So please, let's keep up the good work and win this election! :-D

LA Times Sez: Obama Ahead in Ohio & Florida

Whoops! McBush may just be losing the two last swing states he was banking on for victory. Here are the new LA Times-Bloomberg polls out:

Ohio:
Obama (D) 49%
McCain (R) 40%

Florida:
Obama (D) 50%
McCain (R) 43%

These are McCain's last hope of a win in a week. If he loses either of these states to Obama, stick a fork in his White House chances. So come on, you know what we need to do... Keep working until we WIN! :-)

Arizona Is a Dead Heat

Really! Cronkite/8 News shows a dead heat in its new poll!

McCain (R) 46%
Obama (D) 44%

WHOA! If I were in the McBush campaign, I wouldn't want to be in the same room with the candidate on November 4. Especially if Obama pulls off an upset win in Arizona, I could see McCrazy losing it.

Ah, poetic justice! ;-)

Hooray for Florida!

Early voting has just been extended, thanks to an executive order from Gov. Charlie Crist (R). Yes, you heard me right. For once, a Florida Republican actually did something to help people vote!

So whatever Crist's motivations were, we here at C4O are glad that more Florida voters will actually be able to have their say. :-)

So Far, So Good in The Silver State

That's what The Las Vegas Sun. Democrats continue to hold a large advantage in on-site early voting while only being slightly behind in vote-by-mail returns. Overall, this means Democrats hold a key edge in early voting.

So let's keep up the good work in Nevada! :-)

Today's States of the Race

Brought to you by Mason-Dixon & NBC News! Come on, let's take a look at what's happening!

Montana:
McCain (R) 48%
Obama (D) 44%

North Carolina:
Obama (D) 47%
McCain (R) 47%

New Hampshire:
Obama (D) 50%
McCain (R) 39%

The bad news: North Carolina looks awfully tight, so we can't afford to let up in The Tar Heel State!

The good news: Who would've ever guessed that "the bad news" would be North Carolina TIED... SERIOUSLY??!! Also, how 'bout Montana? Montana's a swing state!! Oh yeah, and whoo-hoo to The Granite State! Rasmussen & Marist suggested a tightening race in New Hampshire, but neither Mason-Dixon (which has NO Democratic lean!) nor other recent polls (like the University of NH) seems to show that.

Conclusion: Don't let up! The states of the race look good, but we can't afford to be complacent in these numbers. We need to secure a lock on AT LEAST 270 electoral votes before we start chatting about a "landslide".

So what are you waiting for? Let's win this election! :-D

The New Mexico Report

At Motley Moose, alyssa chaos has a report from her hometown in New Mexico. So far, so good. Oh yes, and Hillary's making a BIG difference down there! Hooray! ;-)

CNN's Polls of Polls Sez: Obama Lookin' Good

Hot off the presses! CNN has released its new "poll of polls" showing the polling averages in these states:

Georgia:
McCain 50%
Obama 44%

Iowa:
Obama 52%
McCain 39%

Missouri:
Obama 46%
McCain 46%

New Hampshire:
Obama 52%
McCain 42%

If this holds up, McBush is a goner. He only has 9 days to change everything? While we should be prepared for anything, I doubt this can happen so soon. We now need to work our hardest to seal the deal & make our victory BIG!

Ready to make some history & defeat the Bush-McCain radical right? ;-)

The Morning's States of the Race

Brought to you by Politico-Insider Advantage!

Florida:
Obama (D) 48%
McCain (R) 47%

Ohio:
Obama (D) 52%
McCain (R) 42%

The bad news: I guess Florida is close.

The good news: Still, remember that this is the first time Politico-IA has shown Obama ahead in Florida, so he's still moving in the right direction. And OHIO??!! Wow, Obama is REALLY pulling ahead in The Buckeye State! This is the fourth consecutive poll this week (along with Big Ten, Qunnipiac, and Suffolk) showing Obama ahead far outside the margin of error in Ohio, so there's obviously real movement happening here. I guess it's about time that Ohio catch up with the rest of The Rust Belt.

Conclusion: Florida & Ohio may not be key to Obama's victory this year, but they still are key to a large Democratic victory vs. a narrow win. If we can win one or both states, we'll likely see a landslide that gives Obama a BIG mandate AND sends far more Democrats to the House & Senate. That's why it's critical that we NOT give up, NOT get complacent, and keep working until we win & win BIG! :-D

Tonight's States of the Race

Where should we begin? How about Florida?

St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald:
Obama (D) 49%
McCain (R) 42%

And how 'bout those new Rasmussen polls?

Louisiana:
McCain (R) 57%
Obama (D) 41%

Georgia:
McCain (R) 51%
Obama (D) 46%

Washington:
Obama (D) 54%
McCain (R) 43%

Minnesota:
Obama (D) 56%
McCain (R) 41%

The bad news: I guess Louisiana is out of reach.

The good news: Fortunately, we don't need Louisiana to win. However, we are winning all the must-win Kerry states like Washington & Minnesota! Oh yes, and how about Georgia??!! Wow... Georgia!!!!

Conclusion: I hate sounding like a broken record, but if this holds up in the next 12 days we'll be in for a good November 4. So you know what to do now. Make us win & make this win BIG! :-D

MONTANA?! YES. WE. CAN!

For a few weeks during the summer, it looked like Montana was a swing state. But shortly after the Republican Convention, it seemed like "Palinpalooza" sealed the deal for McCain here. Well, that's obviously not the case any more!!

Obama (D) 44%
McCain (R) 40%
Paul (I) 4%
Nader (I) 1%
Barr (L) 1%

With the economy in peril, Montanans seem to be giving Obama another look. Also, Ron Paul stands a serious threat to eat into McCain's numbers enough to throw the state's 3 electoral votes our way.

Simply put, this is nothing short of breathtaking! Who'd have thought that a Democrat could win MONTANA this year??!! This is all the more reason for us to work our behinds off to MAKE. THIS. VICTORY. BIG!!!! :-)

Allstate-National Journal Does the Rust Belt

And the results? Pretty damn good for Democrats!

Minnesota:
Obama (D) 50%
McCain (R) 40%

Pennsylvania:
Obama (D) 51%
McCain (R) 41%

Wisconsin:
Obama (D) 53%
McCain (R) 40%

The bad news: None here!

The good news: All 3 "Barely Blue States" from 2004 look awfully "Solid Blue" now! This is obviously good news for Obama & for us. No matter what crap McCrazy tries to throw at the wall in these states, it doesn't seem like any of it is working. Obama no longer looks to have any "blue-collar" or "white working class" problems anywhere in The Rust Belt. And now with the economy as Issue #1, this only helps Democrats here.

Conclusion: Still, let's NOT get complacent. Let's get working to make our victory BIG! :-D

McBush Pulling the Plug on Nevada to Dress Up Failin'?

Not yet... But they have cut back on their Nevada campaign. What shocks me the most is that they have yet to pay for & execute the live paid calls (you know, the "OSAMA OBAMA PALS AROUND WITH TERRORISTS!" bullshit) in Las Vegas that they ordered some two months ago.

So apparently, they can't afford to make the ugly attack calls in Vegas... But they can afford to buy $150,000 worth of ugly AND expensive clothes for Sarah Failin' at Saks, Neiman, Macy's, & Bloomingdales??!! Wow, talk about "fiscal conservatism" being thrown out the window!

But hey, if they'd rather play "Extreme Makeover" with Failin' than win Nevada, I'm happy with this. I'm sure Barack Obama awfully appreciates those extra 5 electoral votes. ;-)