Sunday, July 27, 2008

Gallup Daily Has Obama Up by Nine

Gallup now has Obama up by nine points over McCain. Today's daily tracking poll suggests:

Obama 49
McCain 40

Says Gallup:

The margin, coincident with the extensive U.S. news coverage of Obama's foreign tour, is the largest for Obama over McCain measured since Gallup began tracking the general election horserace in March.


Update: Research 2000 has released a new poll that also shows Obama with a commanding lead when the field includes four candidates:

Obama 51
McCain 39
Barr 3
Nader 2

Psychodrew in the comments points out that Rasmussen says Obama's bounce is fading, but I think it's too early to say what is happening. Generally, in my observation, when different polls begin to give wildly different results, something is happening in the electorate. We need to see where everything lands.

4 comments:

Psychodrew said...

Good news. It would be interesting to see if this came from McCain or from the undecideds. And we'll have to wait and see if this is a bounce or a change in the race.

If voters have doubts about his fitness to be president, I have trouble believing that handshakes with Maliki and Sarkozy are enough to put their minds at ease. IMHO, it's going to take more than one foreign trip.

Of course, I'm just a bitter, Bible-clinging Clintonista, so what do I know?

Psychodrew said...

Well...maybe it was just a bounce. This is from Rasmussen, released this morning.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that Barack Obama’s Berlin bounce is fading. Obama now attracts 45% of the vote while John McCain earns 42%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 48% and McCain 45%. Both Obama and McCain are viewed favorably by 56% of voters.

Psychodrew said...

I don't mean to take over your post, but I just read this at Rasmussen, as well.

While Barack Obama has touted his travel to Afghanistan and Iraq as a “fact-finding” trip, 63% of Americans do not believe it makes the Democratic candidate any more qualified to be president.

A new Rasmussen Reports national survey, taken Monday night, also finds that less than a third (32%) think Obama will learn from his trip to Iraq. Forty percent (40%) say his mind is already made up about policies to deal with the war there. The Democrat has been accused by liberals in his party of softening his long-standing opposition to the war in Iraq in an effort to appeal to more moderate voters.


The question for us is, are the 23% who think this trip does make him more qualified already Obama supporters?

atdnext said...

Drew-

Sometimes, Rasmussen has some good polling. But still, remember that Scott Rasmussen is a card-carrying GOPer. In 2006, I remember Rasmussen only showing modest gains for Democrats while Bush's approval rating was still in the 40s. So while I wouldn't say Rasmussen is completely inaccurate, I just view them like I would Strategic Vision, an official GOP polling outfit... I just look at the numbers and assume this is the most GOP friendly in the wide universe of polls.

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