Thursday, October 2, 2008

Tonight's Poll Report

Many thanks to TPM for providing us with these lovely new numbers!

Rasmussen:

Kentucky-
McCain (R) 52%
Obama (D) 42%

Montana-
McCain (R) 52%
Obama (D) 44%

Nebraska-
McCain (R) 56%
Obama (D) 37%

New Mexico-
Obama (D) 49%
McCain (R) 44%

Economist-YouGov National:
Obama (D) 47%
McCain (R) 42%


The bad news: OK, so Obama isn't winning every state. Boo-hoo. ;-)

The good news: For all the talk of Montana swinging sharply to McCain, the newest poll numbers aren't quite confirming that. Sure, he's up... But not by as much as Republicans usually are here. Meanwhile, New Mexico is DEFINITELY showing a Democratic lean! Remember that the last Rasmussen poll showed McCain +2 here, so Ras is finally falling in line with all the other polls in showing Obama ahead nicely in The Land of Enchantment. Oh yes, and Economist-YouGov also seems to be falling in line with most other polls in showing Obama taking the lead nationally.

Conclusion: If this snapshot proves to be true, then Obama's looking good. If he forces McCain to spend money in places like Montana while Obama runs away with previously "purple states" like New Mexico, then Democrats are in great shape. All in all, I just wanted to share some good news with you before the debate. :-)

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