Monday, September 29, 2008

Today's States of the Race

Courtesy of TPM Election Central, here are the new Fox-Rasmussen state polls out today:

Colorado:
Obama (D) 49%
McCain (R) 48%

Florida:
Obama (D) 47%
McCain (R) 47%

Ohio:
McCain (R) 48%
Obama (D) 47%

Pennsylvania:
Obama (D) 50%
McCain (R) 42%

Virginia:
Obama (D) 50%
McCain (R) 47%


The bad news: Ohio seems static. Obama gained ground for a while and brought the race here back to a tie about 10 days ago. But ever since then, there hasn't been much movement. I wonder why, especially with the economy being such an important issue here.

The good news: Whatever movement we haven't seen in Ohio has more than been made up for in Florida! Not that long ago, I was wondering if The Sunshine State was starting to look safe for McCain. But with the ugly economic clouds covering the bright sun here, the state of the race has shifted. Without a doubt, Florida is DEFINITELY winnable for Obama now... Perhaps even more so than Ohio at this point. Obama's investment in Florida is certainly paying off.

Meanwhile, Obama maintains an egde in Virginia and Colorado while also building a larger lead in Pennsylvania. If this keeps up, Obama has a much easier path to 270 EVs than he had just a month ago.

Conclusion: I'm feeling better now that I'm seeing these numbers. :-)

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