Sunday, November 2, 2008

First trackers of the day

Rasmussen is out this morning with these numbers:

Obama 51
McCain 46

That lead yesterday is the same as yesterday when Rasmussen's numbers were 51-46. This is Rasmussen's take away observation:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday once again shows Barack Obama with 51% of the vote while John McCain is five points back at 46%. This is the 38th straight day that Obama’s support has stayed between 50% and 52%.
Research 2000/Daily Kos sees the race this way:

Obama 51
McCain 44

The numbers yesterday were the same, 51-44. Daily Kos poll guru DemFromCT observes:
On successive individual days in the R2K poll (different than the topline, which is a combined three day sample), Obama was up +8 Thurs, +9 Fri and +4 Sat with a +5 Wed sample rolling off (rounding can take place.) The Obama video (33.6 million viewers) is reflected today. The +4 (50-46) is the tightest single day sample we've seen in the poll (but one-day samples are very variable.) There has been no major event to change the numbers.
That Saturday number should tell everyone what they need to know about working hard to turn out our vote on Tuesday.

Our own atdnext already shared the news about poor pathetic Zogby. He trumpets his one day numbers the night before last of a one-day McCain one-point lead and has to eat crow the next night:

Obama 50
McCain 44

Yesterday, the numbers were 49-44. Zogby blames bloggers for his crack binge on his perpetual hunt for newspaper headlines:
Obama has consolidated his lead over McCain. His single day lead today was back to 52%-42% . . . . So what happened to give McCain a one-point lead in the one-day polling on Friday? It was a day of consolidation for him, too . . . . Remember, as I said yesterday, one day does not make a trend. This is a three-day rolling average and no changes have been tectonic. A special note to blogger friends: calm it down. Lay off the cable television noise and look at your baseball cards in your spare time. It is better for your (and everyone else's) health.
Zogby needs to admit that he is a crack addict before he starts pointing fingers at bloggers.

Hotline is out and records the race this way:

Obama 50
McCain 45

The numbers yesterday were 51-45. The poll finds that 27% of registered voters already have voted.


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