Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Obama 351, McCain 187

Three Blue Guys have run a database of electoral college projections. Forty-five prognosticators have given their final projections. I averaged the 45 Obama projections and the 45 McCain projections, and this is the average of how people see it:

Obama 351
McCain 187

All prognosticators among the 45 foresaw an Obama win.

Obama's numbers range from a low of 286 to a high of 396. The most common projection was 353. Only four prognosticators among the 45 saw Obama's electoral vote count below 300; 41 projected Obama at greater than 300 electoral votes.

McCain's numbers ranged from a low of 142 to a high of 252. The most common projection was 185. A total of 13 prognosticators among the 45 saw McCain's electoral vote count at 200 or more electoral votes; 32 projected McCain would garner fewer than 200 electoral votes.


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