Sunday, November 2, 2008

State polls this morning

A number of state polls are out this morning. They come from different sources, so let's go through them.

First, Pennsylvania is on the minds of many Democrats because the polls have tightened over the last several days as the McCain camp as made a full frontal attack on the Keystone state. Muhlenberg College's tracking poll is out this morning and sees a seven-point race:

Obama 52
McCain 45

The poll was conducted by live telephone interviews between October 29 and October 31; it included a sample of 599 likely voters. The standard error was +/-4.0%.

We have The Washington Poll for the state of Washington:

Obama 51
McCain 39

The poll was conducted by live telephone interviews between October 27 and October 31; tt included a small sample of 387 registered voters. The standard error was +/-5.0%.

Monmouth is out this morning with a poll for New Jersey:

Obama 55
McCain 34

The poll was conducted by live telephone interviews between October 29 and October 31; it included a sample of 801 likely voters. The standard error was +/-3.5%.

Deseret News entitles its article on a poll for Utah, "Poll: Obama gains but McCain remains Utah's choice." The poll observes:

McCain 57
Obama 32

The poll was conducted by live telephone interviews between October 29 and October 31; it included a sample of 1,205 registered voters. The standard error was +/-2.9%.

Ohio University is out this morning with a poll of the Buckeye State. It is riddled with problems, but first the numbers:

Obama 57
McCain 41

I would love to believe this is true, but the poll was in the field too long, and it was released more than a week after the end of data collection. The pollsters conducted live telephone interviews between October 12 to October 23, and they conducted it of 611 adults, that is, neither likely nor registered voters. It seems to me to have been a class project poll.

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