Monday, November 3, 2008

Halperin projects the electoral college

Mark Halperin writes this morning that Obama's path to 270 is easier to see than McCain's:
Based on interviews with political strategists in both parties, election analysts and advisers to both presidential campaigns — including a detailed look at public and private polling data — an Obama victory with well over 300 electoral votes is a more likely outcome than a McCain victory.
Halperin believes that Obama starts with a "seemingly impenetrable" base of 291 electoral votes. He cites Obama's funding edge, superior organization, and poll position as reasons that Obama can win most of the remaining toss-up states:
Obama could take all of the still contested battlegrounds, giving him nearly 400 electoral votes, and a significant multi-regional mandate.


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