This Week's Strategy Session

So where do we stand now? Democrats have now won the White House, at least 58 Senate seats, and at least 255 House seats. We still have a Senate seat to win in Georgia, a Senate seat in limbo in Minnesota, and 5 House seats in limbo. We still have an illegal discriminatory intitative to overturn in California, a legally questionable discriminatory initiative to overturn in Florida, and the entire 2010 election to start preparing for.

So where do we begin? Well, let's start in Georgia. Jim Martin needs our help right now.

I mean it. We are so close to winning. But if we slack off, we'll probably lose. Georgia is still a Red State, so most voters there are naturally inclined to elect Republicans.

However, this year is different. We have a great candidate in Jim Martin. We have a runoff election where it won't be too difficult to take advantage of our enthusiasm edge. We can win this election if we give it a try.

So why not go for it? What say you? And better yet, why not take some action if you're so inclined?

We'll need as many allies we can in Congress to implement President Obama's agenda of change. So why not take a shot at winning in Georgia? Now's the time to do it!

CNN's Polls of Polls Sez: Obama Lookin' Good

Hot off the presses! CNN has released its new "poll of polls" showing the polling averages in these states:

Georgia:
McCain 50%
Obama 44%

Iowa:
Obama 52%
McCain 39%

Missouri:
Obama 46%
McCain 46%

New Hampshire:
Obama 52%
McCain 42%

If this holds up, McBush is a goner. He only has 9 days to change everything? While we should be prepared for anything, I doubt this can happen so soon. We now need to work our hardest to seal the deal & make our victory BIG!

Ready to make some history & defeat the Bush-McCain radical right? ;-)

GEORGIA??!! YES. WE. CAN!

Seriously... GEORGIA??!! Insider Advantage says it can happen.

President:
Obama (D) 48%
McCain (R) 47%

Senate:
Chambliss (R) 44%
Martin (D) 42%

Yes, these numbers are for real! That's why we can't stop going now. Not since Bill Clinton in 1992 has a Democrat won Georgia's 13 electoral votes. And even better yet, we're extremely close to winning a Senate seat here.

So don't give up... Help Barack Obama & Jim Martin win! :-D

Tonight's States of the Race

Where should we begin? How about Florida?

St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald:
Obama (D) 49%
McCain (R) 42%

And how 'bout those new Rasmussen polls?

Louisiana:
McCain (R) 57%
Obama (D) 41%

Georgia:
McCain (R) 51%
Obama (D) 46%

Washington:
Obama (D) 54%
McCain (R) 43%

Minnesota:
Obama (D) 56%
McCain (R) 41%

The bad news: I guess Louisiana is out of reach.

The good news: Fortunately, we don't need Louisiana to win. However, we are winning all the must-win Kerry states like Washington & Minnesota! Oh yes, and how about Georgia??!! Wow... Georgia!!!!

Conclusion: I hate sounding like a broken record, but if this holds up in the next 12 days we'll be in for a good November 4. So you know what to do now. Make us win & make this win BIG! :-D

Today's States of the Race

Brought to you by TPM Election Central!

SurveyUSA of Georgia:
McCain (R) 51%
Obama (D) 43%

Marist College:

Ohio-
Obama (D) 49%
McCain (R) 45%

Pennsylvania-
Obama (D) 53%
McCain (R) 41%

The bad news: I guess Georgia is still an uphill climb for Obama.

The good news: Fortunately, Obama doesn't need Georgia to win! After all, look at Ohio & Pennsylvania. Ohio still looks close, but Marist still confirms the general trend of Ohio moving toward Obama. Meanwhile, we may as well stick a fork in the McBush campaign in The Keystone State. With Obama now consistently polling 8-14% ahead of McCain in Pennsylvania, it looks like this state's becoming safer for Obama by the week.

Conclusion: Overall, the electoral map seems to be firming up. Other than a few exceptions like West Virginia and North Dakota, "Solid Red States" that had consistently been safe for McBush are staying that way. Meanwhile, Obama has solidified all his "Solid Blue States" that looked pretty good for us. What's really making the difference today is that nearly all the swing states are now trending toward Obama. "Purplish Blue States" like Pennsylvania & New Hampshire that posed problems earlier are now strongly in Obama's column while previously "Purplish Red States" like Colorado & Virginia that were fiercely competitive early this year are now also strongly in Obama's column. If this holds up, then Obama & all of us will have a great night on November 4! :-)

This Morning's States of the Race

Brought to you by Insider Advantage (via TPM Election Central)!

Georgia-
McCain (R) 50%
Obama (D) 44%

Nevada-
Obama (D) 48%
McCain (R) 47%

Florida-
Obama (D) 49%
McCain (R) 46%

The bad news: Where? Georgia, perhaps?

The good news: If Georgia's within single digits, then McCain's in deep sh*t! And with yet another poll showing Obama ahead just to the south in Florida, the sun's really shining on Democrats here! Oh yes, and how about those sunny numbers from Nevada? They may be The Silver State, but Obama may actually win "The Gold Medal" thanks to Nevada!

Conclusion: Obama now looks to win all the Gore 2000 states... Also known as all the Kerry 2004 states - New Hampshire + Iowa + New Mexico. This makes for 260 electoral votes (EVs). If Obama also holds New Hampshire, that brings him up to 264 EVs.

So where can Obama find the additional 6 EVs to put him over the top? Let's start with Nevada. Nevada's 5 EVs bring Obama to 269 EVs, so he needs only 1 more EV to win. Any combination of Colorado, Virginia, Florida, and/or Ohio will take him there.

See why it helps Democrats to be able to compete in all these states? ;-)