Monday, September 15, 2008

SUSA says Obama Leads in Virginia

A new SUSA USA poll has Barack Obama up by four points in Virginia:

Obama 50
McCain 46

Interesting internals: McCain is leading only by one point among voters over 50, but among voter under 50, Obama leads McCain 52-44. This is particularly exciting given the numbers of younger voters whom Obama has registered this year in the Old Dominion. Though McCain has a strong lead among white voters, 57-39, Obama more than makes up for this as he trounces McCain among African American voters, 88-11. Interestingly, Obama leads among both persons with a college education and persons without a college education; in both cases, it's 50-46.

SUSA provides this note about its methodology:
SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Virginia adults 09/12/08 through 09/14/08. Interviews were conducted largely but not entirely after ABC News interview with Sarah Palin had been broadcast, after federal bailout of Fannie Mae had been announced, but before bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. Of the adults, 817 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 732 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Virginia has 13 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Virginia by 8 points in both 2004 and 2000.


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