Wednesday, October 29, 2008

First trackers of the day

Rasmussen reports this morning:

Obama 50
McCain 47
Others 1
Undecided 2

Rasmussen's numbers yesterday were 51-46. Rasmussen's explanation of his numbers deserves a read. Rasmussen observes:
Among those who “always” vote in general elections, Obama leads by just a single point. Obama does better among more casual voters. However, among those with a high degree of interest in this year’s campaign, Obama leads by four. Among those who say they are following the race closely on a daily basis, Obama leads by five.

Among those who have already voted, it’s Obama 54% McCain 45% with other candidates picking up a single percentage point.

As for those who have not yet voted but are “certain” they will do so, the race is tied at 48%. Two percent (2%) of these “certain” voters plan to vote for a third party option while 2% say they are undecided.
Research 2000/Daily Kos reports this morning:

Obama 50
McCain 44

The numbers yesterday were, that is, 50-43. Dkos Poll Meister DemFromCT comments:
On successive individual days in the R2K poll (different than the topline, which is a combined three day sample), Obama was up +5 Sunday, +6 Mon, and +5 Tues with a +9 Sat sample rolling off.
Zogby saw a slight decline in both Obama's and McCain's numbers and a slight increase in undecideds, but through rounding, McCain's number (and not Obama's) this morning takes the hit:

Obama 49
McCain 44

Yesterday, the numbers were 49-45. Zogby once again denies his burning itch to make headlines and eschews any grand pronouncements about the imminent Apocalypse and the Second Coming of Jesus. Uncharacteristically humble, Zogby opines:
The race for President of the United States remained essentially frozen in time yesterday, with very little movement just a week to go before Election Day.
Hotline sees the race a little closer this morning, too:

Obama 49
McCain 42

The numbers yesterday were 50-42.


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