Saturday, November 1, 2008

Gallup Daily

The Gallup Daily Tracker is out, and these are the results:

Registered Voters
Obama 52
McCain 41

The numbers were 50-41 yesterday. This figure is now Obama +11, the same as yesterday.

Likely Expanded Voter Model
Obama 52
McCain 42

The numbers yesterday were 52-43. McCain declines a point, so the expanded model is Obama +10.

Traditional Model
Obama 52
McCain 42

Yesterday's numbers were 51-43, so Obama rises a point while McCain loses one. The traditional model is Obama +10.

Note that the traditional and expanded models have the same numbers and, hence, the same point spread.


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