The Gallup Daily Tracker is out, and these are the results:
Registered Voters
Obama 52
McCain 41
The numbers were 50-41 yesterday. This figure is now Obama +11, the same as yesterday.
Likely Expanded Voter Model
Obama 52
McCain 42
The numbers yesterday were 52-43. McCain declines a point, so the expanded model is Obama +10.
Traditional Model
Obama 52
McCain 42
Yesterday's numbers were 51-43, so Obama rises a point while McCain loses one. The traditional model is Obama +10.
Note that the traditional and expanded models have the same numbers and, hence, the same point spread.
Saturday, November 1, 2008
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