Public Policy Polling has a lot of fresh numbers this morning, and save for West Virginia, things are trending our way in a big way.
Obama is polling extremely well with two key groups of New Mexico voters: independents and Hispanics. Among independents he has a remarkable 66-28 lead, and with Hispanics it’s 62-37.Oregon
He’s racked up a 64-35 lead with those who have already filled out their ballots and is winning across every demographic subset of the population that PPP tracks.Colorado
Obama is also banking a huge lead in early voting. 65% of respondents said they had already cast their ballots, and among those folks Obama has an even more dominant 58-41 lead.Minnesota
Obama is leading with every single demographic group that PPP tracks in the state- men, women, young voters, old voters, whites, blacks, etc. Perhaps most notably he has a 55-37 lead among independent voters, and is pulling twice as much of the Republican vote (12%) as John McCain is of the Democratic vote (6%).West Virginia
Obama was never going to be able to win the state without exceeding 70% of the Democratic vote, and in this survey he leads just 65-31 among folks within his own party.Michigan
PPP hasn't published its analysis of this race yet; only the topline numbers are available.