Thursday, September 25, 2008

Rasmussen's Take on the States of the Race

OK, here are some new Rasmussen state numbers (via TPM).

West Virginia-
McCain (R) 50%
Obama (D) 42%

Obama (D) 49%
McCain (R) 45%

McCain (R) 47%
Obama (D) 46%

Obama (D) 58%
McCain (R) 38%

McCain (R) 51%
Obama (D) 42%

The bad news: They still show a tough race for Obama in West Virginia, contradicting somewhat the other polls showing a close race.

The good news: Obama's still within 10% in West Virginia, as well as Arkansas. These have been considered "Solid Red States" this year, so perhaps McCain's still in danger in these states. Meanwhile, Ohio remains tight and Obama maintains a slim lead in Pennsylvania. Oh yes, and Massachusetts is safer than ever.

Conclusion: While opportunities close up in some areas on the map while opening up in other areas, it looks overall like Obama's in a good position. And as long as he holds Pennsylvania and keeps Ohio as an option, Obama's still on track to win. :-)


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