Monday, September 22, 2008

The States of the Race: Map Changing?

Yay! Here's a flood of new state polls courtesy TPM Election Central:

SurveyUSA:

Virginia-
Obama (D) 51%
McCain (R) 45%

ARG:

Georgia-
McCain (R) 57%
Obama (D) 39%

New Jersey-
Obama (D) 51%
McCain (R) 42%

South Dakota-
McCain (R) 55%
Obama (D) 39%

Wisconsin-
Obama (D) 50%
McCain (R) 45%

Rasmussen:

Minnesota-
Obama (D) 52%
McCain (R) 44%

North Carolina-
McCain (R) 50%
Obama (D) 47%

Mason-Dixon:

Pennsylvania-
Obama (D) 46%
McCain (R) 44%


The bad news: South Dakota & Georgia look pretty solid for McCain, and Pennsylvania still looks too close for comfort.

The good news: Obama still holds a lead in Pennsylvania, and he seems to be strengthening in Virginia, Minnesota, and New Jersey. In fact, I'd dare to say that New Jersey is pretty darn safe for us now. Meanwhile North Carolina is officially in play, which means Obama has more options to reach 270 EVs.

Conclusion: Even though we've lost a few opportunities in places like Georgia and the Dakotas, that's not too surprising as these are "Solid Red States" that may take a while to purple. But with Obama ahead in Virginia and close in North Carolina, we still have plenty of opportunities to turn the map more than blue enough for Democrats to win! :-)

0 comments:

Post a Comment