Gallup Daily Tracker is out. Here are their three scenarios:
Registered Voters
Obama 52
McCain 42
The numbers were 51-42 yesterday, so Obama's number goes up one while McCain remains even with where he was yesterday.
Expanded Likely Voter Model (Intent)
Obama 53
McCain 43
The numbers were 52-43 yesterday, so Obama actually improves one point on this metric as well.
Traditional Likely Voter Model (Intent and past behavior)
Obama 50
McCain 45
The numbers were 50-45 yesterday; in fact, these numbers have been exactly 50-45 on four out of the last seven days.
Monday, October 27, 2008
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