Gallup Daily Tracker is out. Here are their three scenarios:
Registered Voters
Obama 51
McCain 42
The numbers were 51-42 yesterday, so there's no change on their registered voters.
Expanded Likely Voter Model (Intent)
Obama 52
McCain 43
The numbers were 51-43 yesterday, so Obama actually improves one point on this metric.
Traditional Likely Voter Model (Intent and past behavior)
Obama 50
McCain 45
The numbers were 51-44 yesterday, but today's numbers are the numbers Gallup had the day before yesterday on his traditional model.
So the polls so far today show the race at status quo.
Sunday, October 26, 2008
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