Sunday, October 26, 2008

Gallup Daily

Gallup Daily Tracker is out. Here are their three scenarios:

Registered Voters
Obama 51
McCain 42

The numbers were 51-42 yesterday, so there's no change on their registered voters.

Expanded Likely Voter Model (Intent)
Obama 52
McCain 43

The numbers were 51-43 yesterday, so Obama actually improves one point on this metric.

Traditional Likely Voter Model (Intent and past behavior)
Obama 50
McCain 45

The numbers were 51-44 yesterday, but today's numbers are the numbers Gallup had the day before yesterday on his traditional model.

So the polls so far today show the race at status quo.


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