Perceptions about the winner

Gallup has a video out on a new poll it conducted over the weekend about the perceptions of who would win the election.

By a large margin, 71-23, Americans believe Barack Obama will be the victor. In 2004, Americans thought Bush would win by margins of 56-36. In 2000, at one sampling, voters thought Bush would win and at another sampling, they thought Gore would win, so they both turned out to be right given the history of that race.