Friday, October 17, 2008

The Morning's States of the Race

Rasmussen has new state polls out this morning. Want to take a look?

Ohio:
Obama (D) 49%
McCain (R) 49%

Missouri:
Obama (D) 52%
McCain (R) 46%

Oregon:
Obama (D) 54%
McCain (R) 41%


The bad news: Ugh, Ohio. For some reason, Obama's numbers in Ohio have been worse than the rest of the Upper Midwest region and next-door Pennsylvania.

The good news: MISSOURI??!! Obama's up beyond the margin of error in Missouri?! This is nothing short of spectacular! If Obama wins Missouri, he wins the election hands down. Oh yes, and I like me those Oregon numbers! Stick a fork in the McBush campaign in the Pacific Northwest, Obama will win Oregon & Washington.

Conclusion: Ohio concerns me. I just don't get why Obama isn't breaking through as much there as all its neighboring states. Still, Missouri & Oregon are excellent news! If Obama can carry formerly "Red States" like Florida & Missouri, then he won't need Ohio.

1 comments:

DCDemocrat said...

I am hoping that Obama has a superior ground game in Ohio and that in a tight race, it will make the difference. The addition of early voting should mitigate some of the thuggery that hurt us there in 2008. In two-and-a-half weeks, polls won't matter: votes in the box will be all that count.

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