Friday, October 24, 2008

First trackers of the day

Rasmussen reports this morning:

Obama 52
McCain 45

The numbers yesterday were the same, 52-45.

Rasmussen observes:
Forty-six percent (46%) of all voters say they are certain to vote for Obama and will not change their mind before Election Day. Forty-one percent (41%) are equally certain of their support for McCain.
Research 2000/Daily Kos reports this morning:

Obama 52
McCain 40

The numbers yesterday were, 51-41.

Dkos Poll Meister DemFromCT comments:
On successive individual days in the R2K poll (different than the topline, which is a combined three day sample), Obama was up +12 Tues, +10 Wed and +14 Thurs.
Zogby sees Obama's and McCain's numbers as essentially stable:

Obama 51
McCain 41

Yesterday, the numbers were 52-40. Zogby describes the elements in his polling that contribute to Obama's sustained strength:
Obama continues to dominate among independent voters – he leads by a 56% to 30% margin over McCain among those voters – and among those who have already cast their ballots. Those who have already voted now comprise more than 10% of the Zogby sample, and Obama holds a 20–point lead in that category. Among those who are new voters – registering in the last 6 months – the Democrat holds a 69% to 26% edge over McCain.
Hotline/Diageo is out showing Obama's margin has increased over his position yesterday:

Obama 50
McCain 43

The numbers yesterday were 48-43, so while McCain's number remained flat, Obama's increased by two.


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