Saturday, October 25, 2008

First trackers of the day

Rasmussen reports this morning:

Obama 52
McCain 44

The numbers yesterday were 52-45, so today's poll represents a one point gain in Obama's margin over McCain. Rasmussen observes:
This eight point advantage matches Obama’s biggest lead of the year in a race that has been remarkably stable down the stretch. A week ago today, Obama was up by five. Two weeks ago, he was up by seven
Rasmussen observes that Obama's number in his poll has been 50, 51, or 52 now for 30 days.

Research 2000/Daily Kos reports this morning:

Obama 52
McCain 40

The numbers yesterday were the same, that is, 52-40.

Dkos Poll Guru DemFromCT comments:
On successive individual days in the R2K poll (different than the topline, which is a combined three day sample), Obama was up +10 Wed, +14 Thurs and +11 Friday.
As a statistical matter, Zogby sees Obama's and McCain's numbers as essentially stable:

Obama 51
McCain 42

Yesterday, the numbers were 51-41. Zogby describes the overall trends this way:
Since the beginning of the Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking two-and-a-half weeks ago, Obama has gained 3.4 points, while McCain has lost 3.7 points.
Hotline Diageo shows the race with the same numbers we saw yesterday:

Obama 50
McCain 43

Steady as she goes.

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