Thursday, October 23, 2008

First trackers of the day

Rasmussen reports this morning:

Obama 52
McCain 45

The numbers yesterday and the day before were, 51-45.

Rasmussen observes:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama attracting 52% of the vote while John McCain earns 45%. That seven-point lead is Obama’s largest in nearly two weeks. This is also the first time since October 11 that the Democratic candidate has reached the 52% level of support, his highest total of the year.
Research 2000/Daily Kos reports this morning:

Obama 51
McCain 41

The numbers yesterday were the same, 51-41.

DemFromCT comments:
On successive individual days in the R2K poll (different than the topline, which is a combined three day sample), Obama was up +9 Mon, +12 Tues and +10 Wed. Today's polling will completely reflect Colin Powell's endorsement.
Zogby sees Obama's number essentially stable but McCain's dipping by two points from his position yesterday:

Obama 52
McCain 40

Yesterday, the numbers were 52-40. Zogby vouches for his sample by noting that he he believes other samples do not include enough of the young, Hispanics, and college-educated voters, demographics where Obama has real strength:
Democrat Barack Obama has slowly built a 12-point lead over Republican John McCain, consolidating support among young voters, Hispanics, and independent voters while McCain's support, even among his Republican base, is fading heading down the stretch.
Zogby also has some other interesting trends, particularly among those who already have voted:
Obama is leading by 29 points among independents, 22 points among those who have already voted, and also holds leads among every age demographic group. He holds a 50-point lead among voters under age 25.
Diageo Hotline reports their numbers this morning:

Obama 48
McCain 43

The numbers yesterday were 47-42.

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