Wednesday, October 8, 2008

Mr. Toad's Wild Ride: Second set of trackers out

Diageo Hotline reports the closest race we have had in quite a while:

Obama-Biden 45
McCain-Palin 44

Meanwhile, Gallup Daily is reporting an Obama lead as expansive as the one we have been seeing in Research 2000/Daily Kos. Though R2K today reported a 10-point Obama lead, Gallup is reporting an eleven point lead:

Obama 52
McCain 41

Nate Silver at 538.com observes, "The Gallup and Rasmussen polls have by far the largest sample sizes, and so tend to get the most emphasis in the model." So to recap:

Gallup Obama, +11
R2K Obama, +10
Rasmussen Obama, +6
Diageo Hotline Obama, +1

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